{"id":41064,"date":"2017-08-03T17:55:46","date_gmt":"2017-08-03T14:55:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/?p=41064"},"modified":"2017-08-03T17:55:46","modified_gmt":"2017-08-03T14:55:46","slug":"despre-preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/despre-preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare_db\/","title":{"rendered":"Despre pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor \u0219i amenin\u021barea unei noi BULE imobiliare"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_89 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Cuprins<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6ae330da48ca7\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"ez-toc-cssicon\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Comut\u0103 cuprinsul<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-6ae330da48ca7\"  aria-label=\"Comut\u0103 cuprinsul\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/despre-preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare_db\/#Se_inscriu_scumpirile_de_pe_piata_rezidentiala_locala_in_limite_firesti_sau_reprezinta_acestea_un_semnal_de_alarma\" >Se \u00eenscriu scumpirile de pe pia\u021ba reziden\u021bial\u0103 local\u0103 \u00een limite fire\u0219ti sau reprezint\u0103 acestea un semnal de alarm\u0103?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/despre-preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare_db\/#Sumele_cerute_cresc_rapid_dar_nu_la_fel_ca_inainte_de_criza\" >Sumele cerute cresc rapid, dar nu la fel ca \u00eenainte de criz\u0103<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/despre-preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare_db\/#Evolutia_preturilor_finale_sub_nivelul_de_alerta\" >Evolu\u021bia pre\u021burilor finale, sub nivelul de alert\u0103<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Se_inscriu_scumpirile_de_pe_piata_rezidentiala_locala_in_limite_firesti_sau_reprezinta_acestea_un_semnal_de_alarma\"><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Se \u00eenscriu scumpirile de pe pia\u021ba reziden\u021bial\u0103 local\u0103 \u00een limite fire\u0219ti sau reprezint\u0103 acestea un semnal de alarm\u0103?<\/span><\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u00cen ultimii aproximativ trei ani, pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor autohtone au revenit, per ansamblu, pe o traiectorie ascendent\u0103 (chiar dac\u0103 \u00een unele ora\u0219e mai au loc, din c\u00e2nd \u00een c\u00e2nd, \u0219i sc\u0103deri). De\u0219i aceast\u0103 tendin\u021b\u0103 este \u00een consonan\u021b\u0103 at\u00e2t cu evolu\u021bia economiei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti, c\u00e2t \u0219i cu ceea ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 la nivelul Uniunii Europene, mul\u021bi se \u00eentreab\u0103 dac\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia este p\u00e2ndit\u0103 de pericolul (iminent al) apari\u021biei unei noi bule imobiliare.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"article-body-links\"href=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare.jpg\" alt=\"preturile locuintelor si amenintarea unei noi bule imobiliare\" width=\"600\" height=\"411\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-41066\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/preturile-locuintelor-si-amenintarea-unei-noi-bule-imobiliare-390x267.jpg 390w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pentru a putea r\u0103spunde la aceast\u0103 \u00eentrebare, este necesar\u0103 o separare \u00eentre dou\u0103 componente distincte ale no\u021biunii de \u201epre\u021b\u201d. Un raport de pia\u021b\u0103 publicat de platforma <a class=\"article-body-links\"href=\"http:\/\/www.analizeimobiliare.ro\/\">Analize Imobiliare<\/a> (dezvoltat\u0103 de <strong><a class=\"article-body-links\"href=\"http:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/\">Imobiliare.ro<\/a><\/strong>) relev\u0103 un aspect foarte interesant din acest punct de vedere: \u201edin a doua jum\u0103tate a anului trecut, pe pia\u021ba local\u0103 poate fi observat\u0103 o evident\u0103 discrepan\u021b\u0103 \u00eentre ritmul de cre\u0219tere a pre\u021burilor cerute de proprietari, pe de o parte, \u0219i avansul consemnat de valorile finale, de tranzac\u021bionare, pe de alt\u0103 parte\u201d. <\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Sumele_cerute_cresc_rapid_dar_nu_la_fel_ca_inainte_de_criza\"><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Sumele cerute cresc rapid, dar nu la fel ca \u00eenainte de criz\u0103<\/span><\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Astfel, preten\u021biile v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor s-au majorat, \u00een medie, cu 13% \u00een ultimele 12 luni (din Q2 2016 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een Q2 2017), reu\u0219ind s\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 nivelul de referin\u021b\u0103 al anului 2010. \u00cen al doilea trimestru din 2017, locuin\u021bele disponibile spre v\u00e2nzare \u00een Rom\u00e2nia s-au scumpit cu 3,1% fa\u021b\u0103 de cele trei luni anterioare. \u201eDup\u0103 cum ne-am obi\u0219nuit deja de c\u00e2\u021biva ani \u00eencoace, \u0219i \u00een trimestrul ce tocmai s-a \u00eencheiat, pre\u021burile \u00ee\u0219i continu\u0103 trendul ascendent, propulsate de cererea puternic\u0103 sus\u021binut\u0103 de majorarea veniturilor, de \u0219omajul sc\u0103zut \u0219i de ratele mici ale dob\u00e2nzilor\u201d, explic\u0103 Dorel Ni\u021b\u0103, Head of Data &#038; Research \u00een cadrul Imobiliare.ro \u0219i project manager Analize Imobiliare. De\u0219i este justificat oarecum de raportul cerere-ofert\u0103, acesta consider\u0103 c\u0103 ritmul actual de cre\u0219tere a pre\u021burilor poate fi considerat nesustenabil.<\/p>\n<p>De men\u021bionat este \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103, dac\u0103 din al doilea trimestru din 2014 (c\u00e2nd a avut loc ultima sc\u0103dere a indicelui na\u021bional al pre\u021burilor solicitate), a\u0219tept\u0103rile v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor autohtoni s-au majorat, \u00een medie, cu 2,5% trimestrial, \u00een perioada de boom, ce a precedat criza economic\u0103, media trimestrial\u0103 de cre\u0219tere a pre\u021burilor ajungea la 7,9%.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Evolutia_preturilor_finale_sub_nivelul_de_alerta\"><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Evolu\u021bia pre\u021burilor finale, sub nivelul de alert\u0103<\/span><\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Cum stau lucrurile din punctul de vedere al valorilor de tranzac\u021bionare? Cele mai recente date publicate de Eurostat arat\u0103 un avans anual semnificativ mai mic pentru pia\u021ba reziden\u021bial\u0103 local\u0103, respectiv 5,1% \u00eentre Q1 2016 \u0219i Q1 2017 \u2013 diferen\u021ba fa\u021b\u0103 de evolu\u021bia pre\u021burilor cerute sugereaz\u0103 existen\u021ba unui mecanism intern de coordonare \u00eentre a\u0219tept\u0103rile v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor \u0219i cele ale cump\u0103r\u0103torilor. De notat este c\u0103 acest nivel se situeaz\u0103 sub valoarea de alert\u0103 stabilit\u0103 de Uniunea European\u0103 \u00een aceast\u0103 privin\u021b\u0103, respectiv 6%. <\/p>\n<p>Spre compara\u021bie, media de majorare a pre\u021burilor locuin\u021belor la nivelul UE a fost de 4,5% \u00een perioada men\u021bionat\u0103, Rom\u00e2nia situ\u00e2ndu-se \u00eens\u0103 considerabil \u00een urma altor pie\u021be europene la capitolul scumpiri. Astfel, raportat la primul trimestru al anului \u00een curs, cele mai mari cre\u0219teri au avut loc \u00een Republica Ceh\u0103 (+12,8%), Lituania (+10,2%) \u0219i Letonia (+10,1%).<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201e\u00cen T4 2016 fa\u021b\u0103 de T4 2015, potrivit datelor Eurostat, cre\u0219terea pie\u021bei reziden\u021biale din Rom\u00e2nia a fost superioar\u0103 celei din Uniunea European\u0103 cu 2,7%. \u00cen T1 2017 diferen\u021ba s-a diminuat la doar +0,6%. Pe \u021b\u0103ri, \u021bara noastr\u0103 s-a situat \u00eens\u0103 abia pe pozi\u021bia 13 \u00een T4 2016, respectiv pe pozi\u021bia 20, \u00een T1 2017. \u00cen contextul european concluzion\u0103m astfel c\u0103 evolu\u021bia reziden\u021bialelor autohtone este departe de a semnala vreo inflamare. <\/p>\n<p>Cred, \u00eens\u0103, c\u0103 analiza trebuie rafinat\u0103 pe polii principali de cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 \u0219i social\u0103: Bucure\u0219ti, Cluj-Napoca, Timi\u0219oara, Bra\u0219ov, Ia\u0219i \u0219i Constan\u021ba. \u00cen mod particular, pia\u021ba din Cluj-Napoca semnaleaz\u0103 un \u00eenceput de supra\u00eenc\u0103lzire, surprins de to\u021bi indicii imobiliari relevan\u021bi din pia\u021b\u0103, inclusiv de indicele ANEVAR.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Daniel Manate, pre\u0219edintele ANEVAR (Asocia\u021bia Na\u021bional\u0103 a Evaluatorilor Autoriza\u021bi din Rom\u00e2nia)<\/strong><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Se \u00eenscriu scumpirile de pe pia\u021ba reziden\u021bial\u0103 local\u0103 \u00een limite fire\u0219ti sau reprezint\u0103 acestea un semnal de alarm\u0103? \u00cen ultimii aproximativ trei ani, pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor autohtone au revenit, per ansamblu, pe o traiectorie ascendent\u0103 (chiar dac\u0103 \u00een unele ora\u0219e mai au loc, din c\u00e2nd \u00een c\u00e2nd, \u0219i sc\u0103deri). De\u0219i aceast\u0103 tendin\u021b\u0103 este \u00een consonan\u021b\u0103 at\u00e2t [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":829,"featured_media":41066,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[259],"tags":[794,1410,1655,1411,451,1360],"content_author":[],"class_list":["post-41064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-stiri","tag-analize-imobiliare","tag-newsletter","tag-preturile-locuintelor","tag-principal","tag-proprietar","tag-vanzare-apartamente"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Despre pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor \u0219i amenin\u021barea unei noi BULE imobiliare - \u0218tiri - ImoExpert<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Se \u00eenscriu scumpirile de pe pia\u021ba reziden\u021bial\u0103 local\u0103 \u00een limite fire\u0219ti sau reprezint\u0103 acestea un semnal de alarm\u0103? 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