{"id":64189,"date":"2022-01-26T09:03:18","date_gmt":"2022-01-26T07:03:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/?p=64189"},"modified":"2022-01-26T09:03:18","modified_gmt":"2022-01-26T07:03:18","slug":"colliers-10-predictii-pentru-imobiliarele-autohtone-in-2022-ar-putea-fi-un-an-record","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/colliers-10-predictii-pentru-imobiliarele-autohtone-in-2022-ar-putea-fi-un-an-record_db\/","title":{"rendered":"Colliers: 10 predic\u021bii pentru imobiliarele autohtone \u00een 2022. \u201eAr putea fi un an record\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Surs\u0103 foto: Pixabay.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Potrivit consultan\u021bilor companiei, 2022 are poten\u021bialul de a fi cel mai bun an de dup\u0103 2008 din punctul de vedere al volumului de investi\u021bii imobiliare \u2013 ba chiar poate chiar cel mai bun din istoria pie\u021bei locale.<\/h2>\n

Pia\u021ba imobiliar\u0103 din Rom\u00e2nia are suficiente resurse pentru o cre\u0219tere puternic\u0103 a activit\u0103\u021bii \u00een 2022, \u00een func\u021bie de evolu\u021bia pandemiei, dar \u0219i a altor factori, previzioneaz\u0103 reprezentan\u021bii companiei de consultan\u021b\u0103 Colliers. Reevaluarea riscului \u0219i alte tendin\u021be postpandemice vor influen\u021ba \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 apetitul \u0219i valoarea investi\u021biilor imobiliare, at\u00e2t \u00een decursul acestui an, c\u00e2t \u0219i pe termen mai lung. \u201eO oportunitate major\u0103 de care Rom\u00e2nia ar trebui s\u0103 profite din plin este legat\u0103 de fondurile UE: pachetul de ajutor pentru coronavirus, plus alocarea normal\u0103 pentru perioada 2021-2027 pentru Rom\u00e2nia, ating aproximativ 80 miliarde de euro, adic\u0103 o treime din PIB-ul \u021b\u0103rii. \u00cen consecin\u021b\u0103, 2022 ar putea fi un an record pentru investi\u021biile imobiliare din perspectiva activit\u0103\u021bii pie\u021bei, segmentul industrial fiind poten\u021bial preg\u0103tit s\u0103 stabileasc\u0103 noi repere\u201d, noteaz\u0103 oficialii companiei. <\/p>\n

Iat\u0103 lista celor mai importante previziuni pentru pia\u021ba imobiliar\u0103 autohton\u0103, potrivit Colliers: <\/p>\n

1. Cre\u0219terea rapid\u0103 a ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor pentru dolarul american \u0219i posibilitatea unei evolu\u021bii similare pentru euro \u00eencep\u00e2nd cu 2023 reprezint\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103, cea mai vizibil\u0103 tem\u0103 pentru pie\u021bele globale la \u00eenceputul anului, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care pare c\u0103 \u0219i tema pandemiei trece pe plan secundar. Odat\u0103 cu reevaluarea riscului, activele sigure (generatoare de numerar) \u0219i\/sau cele rezistente la infla\u021bie vor fi favorizate \u00een detrimentul celor care promit c\u00e2\u0219tiguri mari \u00een viitor, dar care nu au \u00eenceput s\u0103-\u0219i realizeze poten\u021bialul, anticipeaz\u0103 consultan\u021bii Colliers<\/strong>. \u021a\u0103rile emergente, cum este \u0219i Rom\u00e2nia, \u0219i sl\u0103biciunile lor structurale vor fi \u0219i ele \u00een centrul aten\u021biei, ceea ce eviden\u021biaz\u0103 un risc crescut de recesiune (de\u0219i acesta nu este nici pe departe scenariul de baz\u0103).<\/p>\n

2. Ve\u0219tile ap\u0103rute \u00een leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu evolu\u021bia variantei Omicron ar putea fi un semnal c\u0103 pandemia Covid-19 intr\u0103 \u00een etap\u0103 final\u0103. Dar sistemul de lucru hibrid sau de la distan\u021b\u0103 va deveni o practic\u0103 obi\u0219nuit\u0103 \u00een cadrul multor companii chiar \u0219i dup\u0103 pandemie.<\/strong> \u00cen lumea post-pandemic\u0103, consultan\u021bii Colliers vorbesc, de asemenea, despre o abordare mult mai atent\u0103 la criteriile de mediu, sociale \u0219i de guvernare (ESG) \u0219i despre o accelerare f\u0103r\u0103 precedent a digitaliz\u0103rii\/automatiz\u0103rii.<\/p>\n

3. Pandemia \u0219i recenta cre\u0219tere a pre\u021burilor la energie au scos \u0219i mai mult \u00een eviden\u021b\u0103 importan\u021ba ESG \u00een sectorul imobiliar. Protejarea birourilor \u00eempotriva epidemiilor, cu scopul de a asigura continuitatea afacerilor \u00een cazul unor astfel de situa\u021bii \u00een viitor, va fi un aspect pe care majoritatea proprietarilor \u0219i chiria\u0219ilor \u00eel vor lua \u00een considerare permanent de acum \u00eenainte (ca o cheltuial\u0103 suplimentar\u0103).<\/strong> \u00cen paralel, de\u021binerea sau \u00eenchirierea unei cl\u0103diri eficiente din punct de vedere energetic nu mai pare deloc un moft \u00een contextul actualei crize energetice.<\/p>\n

4. Cum Rom\u00e2nia urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 primeasc\u0103, p\u00e2n\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul acestui deceniu, aproape 80 de miliarde de euro din fonduri UE (fonduri structurale, fonduri de recuperare postpandemie, plus subven\u021bii agricole), la care se adaug\u0103 \u0219i cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 estimat\u0103 \u00eentre 3% \u0219i 4% \u00een acest an, consultan\u021bii Colliers se a\u0219teapt\u0103 ca, pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce rezultatele investi\u021biilor vor \u00eencepe s\u0103 se vad\u0103, \u0219i cre\u0219terea pie\u021bei imobiliare s\u0103 se accelereze \u0219i s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 robust\u0103 \u00een anii urm\u0103tori<\/strong>. <\/p>\n

4. \u00cen condi\u021biile \u00een care rata de neocupare a spa\u021biilor de birouri va atinge probabil un v\u00e2rf de peste 20% pentru Bucure\u0219ti \u00een 2022, va fi nevoie de cel pu\u021bin c\u00e2\u021biva ani pentru ca pia\u021ba s\u0103 nu mai \u00eencline at\u00e2t de mult \u00een favoarea chiria\u0219ilor, \u00eens\u0103 redresarea va fi neuniform\u0103. Cum marile companii globale dau semne clare c\u0103 vor s\u0103-\u0219i readuc\u0103 angaja\u021bii la birou \u0219i este de a\u0219teptat ca \u0219i firmele locale s\u0103 fac\u0103 acela\u0219i lucru, consultan\u021bii Colliers subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 proiectele de calitate, bine amplasate \u0219i bine conectate se vor descurca mult mai bine, \u00een timp ce restul vor fi obligate s\u0103 compenseze prin oferirea unor reduceri mai mari de chirie, m\u0103rind decalajul dintre cele mai bune cl\u0103diri \u0219i restul ofertei disponibile<\/strong>. De asemenea, exist\u0103 semne c\u0103 noi (mari) chiria\u0219i vor intra pe pia\u021ba de birouri din Bucure\u0219ti, ceea ce, \u00een timp, va compensa faptul c\u0103 unele companii (nu toate) \u00ee\u0219i reduc spa\u021biile de birouri ocupate, pe fondul modului de munc\u0103 hibrid.<\/p>\n

5. Consultan\u021bii Colliers anticipeaz\u0103 o nou\u0103 epoc\u0103 de aur pentru pia\u021ba logistic\u0103 \u0219i industrial\u0103<\/strong>. \u00cen ciuda faptului c\u0103 stocul modern de spa\u021bii de depozitare a crescut anual cu aproximativ 10-20% \u00een Rom\u00e2nia din 2016 \u00eencoace (ceea ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 s-a dublat, practic, \u00een acest r\u0103stimp), mai este destul loc de cre\u0219tere. Mai mult, pia\u021ba prime\u0219te un nou impuls mul\u021bumit\u0103 unor aspecte precum recentele tensiuni geopolitice \u0219i problemele din 2021 legate de lan\u021burile de aprovizionare. Acestea eviden\u021biaz\u0103 importan\u021ba de a avea cel pu\u021bin o parte din capacit\u0103\u021bile de produc\u021bie\/stocare mai aproape de cas\u0103, iar Europa Central\u0103 \u0219i de Est reprezint\u0103 o op\u021biune excelent\u0103 de relocare a acestor opera\u021biuni pentru \u021b\u0103rile din Europa de Vest.<\/p>\n

6. Stocul modern de depozite din Rom\u00e2nia r\u0103m\u00e2ne subdimensionat, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 nivelul consumului de aici este deja comparabil cu cel al multor \u021b\u0103ri din Europa de Est (sau chiar de Vest). Dezvolt\u0103rile de infrastructur\u0103 din zona Bucure\u0219tiului (noua \u0219osea de centur\u0103) \u0219i autostr\u0103zile planificate vor deveni cu at\u00e2t mai relevante cu c\u00e2t vor deschide\/stimula noi subpie\u021be<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

7. Retailerii clasici \u00eenva\u021b\u0103 s\u0103 tr\u0103iasc\u0103 al\u0103turi de comer\u021bul electronic<\/strong>. De\u0219i consultan\u021bii Colliers se a\u0219teapt\u0103 ca o parte semnificativ\u0103 a pie\u021bei de retail s\u0103 fie supus\u0103 unor presiuni sporite, marile centre comerciale dominante din marile ora\u0219e ar trebui s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i rec\u00e2\u0219tige \u00een cele din urm\u0103 statutul de \u201cmall magnet\u201d, atr\u0103g\u00e2nd clien\u021bii cu mixul lor diversificat de chiria\u0219i (av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 rom\u00e2nii sunt mult mai predispu\u0219i s\u0103 vrea s\u0103 vad\u0103 un produs \u00eenainte de a-l cump\u0103ra dec\u00e2t majoritatea europenilor). Totodat\u0103, parcurile de retail din ora\u0219ele mici \u0219i mijlocii, unde oamenii nu au tendin\u021ba s\u0103 cump\u0103re at\u00e2t de mult de pe internet, sunt v\u0103zute ca o alternativ\u0103 sigur\u0103 \u0219i au avut v\u00e2nz\u0103ri \u00een cre\u0219tere chiar \u0219i \u00een timpul anilor de pandemie.<\/p>\n

8. Pornind strict de la tranzac\u021biile mari (majoritatea av\u00e2nd ca obiect cl\u0103diri de birouri), 2022 are poten\u021bialul de a fi cel mai bun an de dup\u0103 2008 pentru investi\u021biile imobiliare, poate cel mai bun din istorie pentru Rom\u00e2nia \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te volumul total al achizi\u021biilor<\/strong>, previzioneaz\u0103 consultan\u021bii Colliers. Exist\u0103 mari \u0219anse s\u0103 se dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 pragul de un miliard de euro, iar investi\u021biile \u00een active-trofeu pe care le poate oferi pia\u021ba vor deveni mult mai vizibile, deoarece o parte din investitori vor pune accent mai mult pe siguran\u021b\u0103, ceea ce va duce la un decalaj mai mare \u00eentre activele prime \u0219i cele nonprime. \u00cen al doilea r\u00e2nd, este evident\u0103 \u00eenclina\u021bia de a de\u021bine anumite active \u00een detrimentul altora, cu predilec\u021bie pentru sectorul industrial \u0219i cel reziden\u021bial la nivel global, de\u0219i, \u00een special \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, se observ\u0103 \u0219i pa\u0219i \u00een direc\u021bia form\u0103rii unei pie\u021be (\u00een adev\u0103ratul sens al cuv\u00e2ntului) a locuin\u021belor de \u00eenchiriat.<\/p>\n

9. Anul 2022 pare s\u0103 fie un moment de cump\u0103n\u0103 pentru sectorul reziden\u021bial<\/strong>. De\u0219i datele demografice nu sunt deseori suficient de clare pentru a emite opinii, exist\u0103 totu\u0219i c\u00e2teva certitudini, cum ar fi schimbarea obiceiurilor de munc\u0103 postCovid, actualul context infla\u021bionist care spore\u0219te atractivitatea investi\u021biilor reziden\u021biale, posibilitatea ca dinamica pre\u021burilor reziden\u021biale s\u0103 o dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 \u00een sf\u00e2r\u0219it pe cea a salariilor pentru prima dat\u0103 \u00een ultimii ani, plus scumpirea materialelor de construc\u021bii. \u00cen general, factorii prezen\u021bi par s\u0103 indice c\u0103 tendin\u021ba de majorare a pre\u021burilor ar putea s\u0103 accelereze pu\u021bin, exist\u00e2nd riscul s\u0103 ne \u00eendrept\u0103m c\u0103tre o supra\u00eenc\u0103lzire a pie\u021bei \u0219i la apari\u021bia unei bule. Pe baza pre\u021burilor medii, consultan\u021bii Colliers consider\u0103 c\u0103 pia\u021ba se afl\u0103 \u00een teritoriul pre\u021burilor de pia\u021b\u0103 corecte, dar acest lucru se poate schimba destul de repede.<\/p>\n

10. Dup\u0103 un nivel maxim \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te volumul pie\u021bei din 2007 \u00eencoace, consultan\u021bii Colliers noteaz\u0103 c\u0103 ar putea exista unele argumente \u00een favoarea unei \u00eencetiniri a pie\u021bei terenurilor, dar fluxul bun de tranzac\u021bii de la \u00eenceputul anului sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103, \u0219i dac\u0103 ar avea loc o sc\u0103dere, aceasta nu ar fi semnificativ\u0103<\/strong>. Mai mult, volumul total ar putea foarte bine s\u0103 se dovedeasc\u0103 similar \u00een 2022, noteaz\u0103 consultan\u021bii Colliers, care se a\u0219teapt\u0103 ca interesul pentru terenuri bune \u00een anumite ora\u0219e (\u00een special \u00een cele \u00een care exist\u0103 probleme administrative care duc la un proces de urbanism mai lent) s\u0103 duc\u0103 la cre\u0219terea pre\u021burilor, \u00een timp ce dezvoltatorii reziden\u021biali \u0219i de retail vor r\u0103m\u00e2ne foarte activi. Presupun\u00e2nd c\u0103 redresarea pie\u021bei de birouri \u00eencepe s\u0103 prind\u0103 contur, consultan\u021bii Colliers se a\u0219teapt\u0103 ca \u0219i dezvoltatori din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 s\u0103 revin\u0103 \u00een prim-plan \u00eentr-un num\u0103r mult mai mare comparativ cu 2021. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Potrivit consultan\u021bilor companiei, 2022 are poten\u021bialul de a fi cel mai bun an de dup\u0103 2008 din punctul de vedere al volumului de investi\u021bii imobiliare \u2013 ba chiar poate chiar cel mai bun din istoria pie\u021bei locale. Pia\u021ba imobiliar\u0103 din Rom\u00e2nia are suficiente resurse pentru o cre\u0219tere puternic\u0103 a activit\u0103\u021bii \u00een 2022, \u00een func\u021bie de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":829,"featured_media":64190,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[370,459,1577,2084],"content_author":[],"class_list":["post-64189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-birouri","tag-colliers","tag-preturi-locuinte","tag-preturi-locuinte-2022"],"yoast_head":"\nColliers: 10 predic\u021bii pentru imobiliarele autohtone \u00een 2022. \u201eAr putea fi un an record\u201d - ImoExpert<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Potrivit consultan\u021bilor companiei, 2022 are poten\u021bialul de a fi cel mai bun an de dup\u0103 2008 din punctul de vedere al volumului de investi\u021bii imobiliare \u2013\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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