{"id":7908,"date":"2011-01-04T16:19:32","date_gmt":"2011-01-04T13:19:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/?p=7908_db\/"},"modified":"2011-01-04T16:19:32","modified_gmt":"2011-01-04T13:19:32","slug":"va-aduce-2011-o-iesire-din-criza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/va-aduce-2011-o-iesire-din-criza_db\/","title":{"rendered":"Va aduce 2011 o ie\u015fire din criz\u0103?"},"content":{"rendered":"

De\u015fi se confrunt\u0103 cu problemele sale specifice, direc\u0163ia real estate-ului autohton depinde \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 de evolu\u0163ia economiei mondiale \u015fi europene.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ce schimb\u0103ri au avut loc \u00een 2010 pe pia\u0163a imobiliar\u0103? Ce se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla cu pre\u0163urile locuin\u0163elor \u00een anul ce tocmai a \u00eenceput? Vom observa o cre\u015ftere a volumului de tranzac\u0163ii? Mai presus de toate, putem spera la o stabilizare a pie\u0163ei sau chiar la o ie\u015fire din criz\u0103 \u00een 2011? Acestea sunt doar c\u00e2teva dintre \u00eentreb\u0103rile la care reprezentan\u0163ii c\u00e2torva dintre marile companii de consultan\u0163\u0103 \u00een imobiliare se str\u0103duiesc s\u0103 ofere r\u0103spunsuri.<\/p>\n

U\u015foare sc\u0103deri de pre\u0163uri \u015fi \u00een prima parte a anului<\/strong>
\n2010 a fost un an cu urcu\u015furi \u015fi cobor\u00e2\u015furi. A \u00eenceput bine comparativ cu 2009, \u00eens\u0103 m\u0103surile de austeritate au blocat pia\u0163a. \u00cen acel moment, a ap\u0103rut o puternic\u0103 stare de incertitudine, a sc\u0103zut num\u0103rul de cereri \u015fi cel de tranzac\u0163ii, iar pre\u0163urile au continuat s\u0103 scad\u0103, dar nu \u00eendeajuns de mult pentru a m\u0103ri num\u0103rul de tranzac\u0163ii.
\nLegat de posibilitatea ca pia\u0163a s\u0103 ias\u0103 din criz\u0103 \u00een 2011, nu se poate face, \u00een acest moment, nicio estimare care s\u0103 fie 100% plauzibil\u0103, \u0163in\u00e2nd cont de variabilele macroeconomice. \u00cen acest moment poate fi observat\u0103 doar o tendin\u0163\u0103 de cre\u015ftere u\u015foar\u0103 a num\u0103rului de tranzac\u0163ii, care se va men\u0163ine probabil \u015fi \u00een anul urm\u0103tor, pe fondul continu\u0103rii sc\u0103derilor de pre\u0163uri (c\u00e2teva procente p\u00e2n\u0103 la jum\u0103tatea lui 2011). Evolu\u0163ia pie\u0163ei per ansamblu depinde \u00eens\u0103 foarte mult de contextul macroeconomic.<\/p>\n

Valentin Ilie, CEO Coldwell Banker Affiliates of Romania<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Oferta de locuin\u0163e de calitate, tot mai redus\u0103<\/strong>
\nAnul 2010 a fost mai slab dec\u00e2t 2008, dar mai bun dec\u00e2t 2009. Cea mai important\u0103 observa\u0163ie legat\u0103 de acest an este c\u0103 pre\u0163urile au \u00eenceput s\u0103 se stabilizeze. Pe fondul acestei stabiliz\u0103ri, putem s\u0103 ne a\u015ftept\u0103m la o cre\u015ftere a num\u0103rului de tranzac\u0163ii. Un lucru este cert: nevoia de case este din ce \u00een ce mai mare \u2013 \u00een ultimii doi ani construc\u0163ia de locuin\u0163e a stagnat <\/a>\u015fi, \u00een acela\u015fi timp, foarte mul\u0163i cump\u0103r\u0103tori au a\u015fteptat sc\u0103deri miraculoase de pre\u0163uri. Aceste a\u015ftept\u0103ri s-au dovedit nerealiste, iar acum cump\u0103r\u0103torii g\u0103sesc cu greu o locuin\u0163\u0103 de calitate \u00een oferta din ce \u00een ce mai redus\u0103. \u00cen acest context, pentru anul 2011 estim\u0103m c\u0103 stabilizarea pre\u0163urilor va fi resim\u0163it\u0103 pe toate segmentele pie\u0163ei.<\/p>\n

Eduard Uzunov, pre\u015fedintele Regatta<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

2009 \u015fi 2010, cei mai grei ani \u00een reziden\u0163ial <\/strong>
\nDac\u0103 2008 a fost anul care anun\u0163a criza, f\u0103r\u0103 a estima dimensiunea \u015fi efectele ei, anul 2009 a adus schimb\u0103ri drastice \u00een cadrul segmentului reziden\u0163ial, observ\u00e2ndu-se modific\u0103ri at\u00e2t \u00een comportamentul v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u00een cel al cump\u0103r\u0103torilor. Anul 2010 nu a fost cu mult diferit fa\u0163\u0103 de 2009 – am reg\u0103sit aceea\u015fi ne\u00eencredere a cump\u0103r\u0103torilor de a investi \u00een propriet\u0103\u0163i imobiliare, aceea\u015fi rezisten\u0163\u0103 a b\u0103ncilor \u00een a acorda credite, al\u0103turi de reticen\u0163a dezvoltatorilor de a demara noi proiecte. Anii 2009 \u015fi 2010 au fost cei mai grei pentru segmentul reziden\u0163ial, at\u00e2t prin volumul extrem de redus al tranzac\u0163iilor, c\u00e2t \u015fi prin num\u0103rul foarte mare de propriet\u0103\u0163i scoase la v\u00e2nzare comparativ cu ponderea redus\u0103 a cump\u0103r\u0103torilor.
\nCel mai probabil, anul 2011 nu va marca sf\u00e2r\u015fitul crizei. Problemele economice cu care se confrunt\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia \u015fi care se r\u0103sfr\u00e2ng asupra sectorului reziden\u0163ial nu pot fi solu\u0163ionate pe termen scurt. Criza economic\u0103 a influen\u0163at semnificativ disponibilitatea poten\u0163ialilor cump\u0103r\u0103tori de a achizi\u0163iona propriet\u0103\u0163i.<\/p>\n

Mihaela Pan\u0103, directorul departamentului reziden\u0163ial al DTZ Echinox<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Cump\u0103r\u0103torii iau mult mai greu decizii de achizi\u0163ie <\/strong>
\nComparativ cu 2008 \u015fi 2009, singura diferen\u0163\u0103 care merit\u0103 eviden\u0163iat\u0103 pentru anul trecut este timpul de decizie al cump\u0103r\u0103torilor. \u00cen anii preceden\u0163i, cei care c\u0103utau s\u0103 achizi\u0163ioneze un imobil se decideau \u00een aproximativ o lun\u0103. \u00cen 2010, timpul alocat unei achizi\u0163ii a crescut la peste trei luni. Poten\u0163ialii cump\u0103r\u0103tori care au avut r\u0103bdare au ie\u015fit \u00een c\u00e2\u015ftig 100%, at\u00e2t din punctul de vedere al valoarii achizi\u0163iei, c\u00e2t \u015fi din cel al num\u0103rului de posibilit\u0103\u0163i din care s\u0103 poat\u0103 alege.
\n\u00cen acest moment, nu exist\u0103 premisele economice na\u0163ionale care s\u0103 conduc\u0103 la o \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163ire a situa\u0163iei \u00een domeniul imobiliar. Mai mult, criza \u00een construc\u0163ii de-abia acum \u00ee\u015fi va ar\u0103ta \u201ccol\u0163ii\u201d. Vom asista la achizi\u0163ii de strict\u0103 necesitate<\/a> \u015fi pe baz\u0103 de oportunit\u0103\u0163i. Pre\u0163ul nu va fi f\u0103cut de dezvoltatori sau de proprietarii care vor s\u0103 v\u00e2nd\u0103, ci doar de cump\u0103r\u0103torii dispu\u015fi s\u0103 achizi\u0163ioneze la un anumit pre\u0163, pe care ei \u00eel consider\u0103 corect. \u00centruc\u00e2t cererea este mult mai mic\u0103 dec\u00e2t oferta de pe pia\u0163\u0103, pre\u0163urile \u00ee\u015fi vor men\u0163ine, cel mai probabil, trendul descendent.<\/p>\n

Drago\u015f Dragoteanu<\/a>, managerul Euroest<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Opinia bloggerului<\/strong>
\n2010 a fost un an mai dificil pentru pia\u0163a imobiliar\u0103. Dar, pentru c\u0103 pia\u0163a a fost ceva mai pu\u0163in \u201e\u00eenghe\u0163at\u0103\u201d dec\u00e2t \u00een 2009, unii au sim\u0163it c\u0103 lucrurile se \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163esc. Per ansamblu, situa\u0163ia a ar\u0103tat cam a\u015fa: pre\u0163urile<\/a> au sc\u0103zut, tranzac\u0163iile au fost pu\u0163ine, \u00eens\u0103 \u00een unele cazuri a existat cerere pentru oportunit\u0103\u0163i.
\nCu siguran\u0163\u0103, criza nu se va termina \u00een 2011. Nu va exista o ameliorare major\u0103 a situa\u0163iei din pia\u0163\u0103. 2011 va aduce mai multe execut\u0103ri silite, iar dac\u0103 b\u0103ncile vor permite investitorilor s\u0103 cumpere propriet\u0103\u0163i la valori mai sc\u0103zute dec\u00e2t cea a creditelor contractate, atunci pia\u0163a va \u00eencepe u\u015for s\u0103 se dezghe\u0163e. M\u0103 a\u015ftept la c\u00e2teva semne pozitive \u00een ultimul trimestru al anului 2011, \u00eens\u0103 totul depinde de trei parametri: economia mondial\u0103 \u015fi cea european\u0103, peisajul politic rom\u00e2nesc \u015fi atitudinea \u015fi deciziile b\u0103ncilor locale.
\n\u00cen ceea ce prive\u015fte pre\u0163urile, trebuie f\u0103cut\u0103 distinc\u0163ia dintre pre\u0163urile cerute de proprietari \u015fi cele efective, de tranzac\u0163ionare. Pe parcursul anului trecut, cele din urm\u0103 au atins, mai mult sau mai pu\u0163in, pragul de jos. Astfel, dac\u0103 pre\u0163urile cerute vor continua s\u0103 scad\u0103 \u015fi \u00een 2011, valoarea efectiv\u0103 de cump\u0103rare a unei propriet\u0103\u0163i va r\u0103m\u00e2ne aproximativ la fel (plus sau minus 5%).<\/div>\n

Ilias Papageorgiadis<\/a>, CEO al More Real Estate Services \u015fi blogger pe www.realinromania-blog.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

De\u015fi se confrunt\u0103 cu problemele sale specifice, direc\u0163ia real estate-ului autohton depinde \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 de evolu\u0163ia economiei mondiale \u015fi europene. Ce schimb\u0103ri au avut loc \u00een 2010 pe pia\u0163a imobiliar\u0103? Ce se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla cu pre\u0163urile locuin\u0163elor \u00een anul ce tocmai a \u00eenceput? Vom observa o cre\u015ftere a volumului de tranzac\u0163ii? Mai presus de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":829,"featured_media":7911,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[306,470,1551,600,368,385,323,1549,354],"content_author":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-7908","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"tag-articole","8":"tag-coldwell-banker","9":"tag-cumparatori","10":"tag-dragos-dragoteanu","11":"tag-dtz","12":"tag-ilias-papageorgiadis","13":"tag-preturi","14":"tag-proprietari","15":"tag-tranzactii"},"yoast_head":"\nVa aduce 2011 o ie\u015fire din criz\u0103? - ImoExpert<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"De\u015fi se confrunt\u0103 cu problemele sale specifice, direc\u0163ia real estate-ului autohton depinde \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 de evolu\u0163ia economiei mondiale \u015fi europene. 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